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1. Identificação
Tipo de ReferênciaPôster em Evento (Conference Proceedings)
Sitemtc-m16d.sid.inpe.br
Código do Detentorisadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S
Identificador8JMKD3MGP7W/385E97E
Repositóriosid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2010/08.23.17.35
Última Atualização2010:08.23.17.35.42 (UTC) administrator
Repositório de Metadadossid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2010/08.23.17.35.43
Última Atualização dos Metadados2021:01.02.04.00.13 (UTC) administrator
Chave SecundáriaINPE--PRE/
Chave de CitaçãoTavaresChou:2010:StDoPr
TítuloStatistical Downscaling of the Present Climate in São Paulo, Brazil
Ano2010
Data de Acesso18 maio 2024
Tipo SecundárioPRE CI
Número de Arquivos1
Tamanho1867 KiB
2. Contextualização
Autor1 Tavares, Priscila da Silva
2 Chou, Sin Chan
Grupo1 CST-CST-INPE-MCT-BR
2 DMD-CPT-INPE-MCT-BR
Afiliação1 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor1 priscila.tavares@cptec.inpe.br
2 chou.sinchan@cptec.inpe.br
Nome do EventoThe Meeting of the Americas.
Localização do EventoFoz do Iguaçu
Data8-12 Aug. 2010
Editora (Publisher)AGU
Título do LivroPosters
Tipo TerciárioPoster Session
Histórico (UTC)2010-08-23 17:39:27 :: valdirene -> administrator :: 2010
2021-01-02 04:00:13 :: administrator -> valdirene :: 2010
3. Conteúdo e estrutura
É a matriz ou uma cópia?é a matriz
Estágio do Conteúdoconcluido
Transferível1
Tipo do ConteúdoExternal Contribution
Palavras-Chaveregional climate change
climate change
variability
ResumoSimulations for the present climate (1961-1990) in the resolution of 40 km were produced on the South America with the regional model Eta forced by HADCM3 as lateral boundary conditions. The Eta Model was adapted to carry through integrations of decadal timescale for studies of climate change scenarios. This work has as objective to adjusting the simulations of the present climate for São Paulo state, using statistical correction over model grid-boxes, according to daily precipitation of 20 meteorological stations. Simulations of the present climate show that the largest precipitation amounts to the east of the State with annual average values varying between 5 and 7 mm/day. In central part of the State the daily means are below 4 mm/day. The rainy (drier) season occurs between the December and February (June and August) months with values above (below) 11 mm/day (1 mm/day) in the stations located near the coast (middle) of the State. In general, the rainy months (drier) exhibited negative (positive) bias, therefore underestimated (overestimated) the precipitation. The adjustment method consisted of determining a correction factor according to monthly precipitation bias in the period between 1961 and 1985, the corrections were applied in the period between 1986 and 1990 (test period). The method was evaluated based on the mean absolute error (MAE), the root mean square error (RMSE) and the Skill Score before and after corrections. The performance of the method has been classified subjectively such as: Excellent, when the method reduced model errors (bias, MAE e RMSE) in most of the months, Satisfactory and Unsatisfactory, when errors increased after correction. In general, it was noticed that the method satisfactorily adjusted the simulations in most of the State, mainly in the stations where largest bias occurred near the coast. In the stations where the method did not perform satisfactorily the values of the simulated precipitation were generally similar to the observations, the stations with unsatisfactory behavior were located in central north of São Paulo state. These corrections will be applied to simulations of future climate change scenarios to support vulnerability studies.
ÁreaCST
Arranjo 1urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > Statistical Downscaling of...
Arranjo 2urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDMD > Statistical Downscaling of...
Conteúdo da Pasta docacessar
Conteúdo da Pasta sourcenão têm arquivos
Conteúdo da Pasta agreementnão têm arquivos
4. Condições de acesso e uso
URL dos dadoshttp://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP7W/385E97E
URL dos dados zipadoshttp://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP7W/385E97E
Idiomaen
Arquivo AlvoPriscilaTavares_statistical.pdf
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Grupo de Leitoresadministrator
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Visibilidadeshown
Permissão de Leituraallow from all
Permissão de Atualizaçãonão transferida
5. Fontes relacionadas
Repositório Espelhosid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02.53
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H
8JMKD3MGPCW/43SKC35
Lista de Itens Citandosid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.19.20.40 1
Acervo Hospedeirosid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02
6. Notas
Campos Vaziosarchivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination doi e-mailaddress edition editor format isbn issn label lineage mark nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid organization pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project publisheraddress resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark type url versiontype volume
7. Controle da descrição
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